Andy Bechtolsheim (Arista Co-Founder) – Building the 400G Internet (Nov 2020)
Chapters
Abstract
Revolutionizing Networking: A Comprehensive Look at Moore’s Law, Chip Advancements, and the Future of Optics
Abstract:
The rapid progress of networking chips, fueled by Moore’s Law and the rise of merchant silicon, has significantly transformed the networking landscape. This article examines these transformative trends and explores how they are reshaping the industry. It delves into the impact of Moore’s Law, the evolution of chip technology, the rise of merchant silicon, and the advancements in optical technology, highlighting the key factors driving innovation and the future of networking.
1. Moore’s Law and Its Influence:
Moore’s Law’s steady prediction of exponential growth in chip complexity has accelerated networking chip development, propelling the industry forward. With the adoption of cutting-edge processes, networking chips have experienced dramatic improvements in density, speed, and power efficiency, catching up with the advancements seen in other chip sectors.
2. Breakthroughs in Networking Chips:
The networking chip industry is witnessing a surge of innovation. Companies like Arista are introducing remarkable chips like the Cheshire 2, delivering 4800 gigabits per chip, far surpassing previous generations. The future iterations, such as Cheshire 2C Plus and Cheshire 3, promise even more substantial performance gains. These breakthroughs are fueled by the adoption of advanced processes, leading to denser, faster, and more power-efficient designs.
3. Merchant Silicon’s Dominance and Cost Challenges:
Despite these advancements, the soaring costs of chip design pose a significant challenge. The annual expense of designing a chip can reach staggering figures, regardless of its complexity. Consequently, the industry is shifting towards merchant silicon, where design costs are spread over larger volumes, resulting in cost-effective solutions. Merchant silicon chips have become dominant in switching, routing, and optical transport markets, outpacing custom designs due to their rapid innovation and cost-effectiveness.
4. Optics Evolution: The Drive Towards Higher Speeds and Efficiency:
The optics field is experiencing a significant transformation. Innovations like 100-gigabit SIRTES optics eliminate the need for expensive gearboxes, enabling direct connections. Various form factors are emerging for different applications. The introduction of 800-gig optics, compatible with existing 400-gig optics, promises cost-effectiveness and enhanced speed.
Arista’s 400G and 800G Roadmap: Arista is leading the charge in optical innovation, with a focus on increased output power, improved receiver sensitivity, and better link budget for their O2 and ZR+ modules. Their CR+ module, projected for availability in the second half of 2021, showcases a 5-nanometer process technology, doubled baud rate, and spectrum. These advancements aim to lower cost per bit and power consumption, transforming the transport market.
5. The Road Ahead: 800-Gig Optics and Beyond:
The 800-gig optics market is poised for launch in 2024, with a focus on cost reduction and compatibility. The Ethernet Technology Alliance has completed the 800-gig Ethernet specification, marking a crucial step forward. The IEEE is also working on a future standard, highlighting the significance of optical interoperability and multi-speed optics for network flexibility.
6. ZR and ZR+ Optics: Setting New Standards:
ZR and ZR+ optics introduce a paradigm shift in the industry. These optics offer multi-vendor interoperability, low power consumption, and exceptional price performance, paving the way for their dominance in high-volume use cases by 2024. Their adoption is driven by the need for efficient and cost-effective solutions in data center interconnects and long-haul networks.
Enhanced Photonic Coherent Receiver Plus Module: Arista’s enhanced version of the Photonic Coherent Receiver Plus module delivers increased output power and improved specs, enabling compatibility with existing optical line systems and extending the reach with FEC modes. This simplifies DCI use cases and optimizes network performance.
7. Future Perspectives: Challenges and Innovations in Optical Modules:
Optical modules for data center interconnects face challenges in achieving high reliability and long reach. The roadmap includes 800-gig CR modules with innovative coding and lower power consumption, driven by companies like Arista. These advancements are expected to transform the transport market, enabling higher capacities and improved performance.
Optics Reliability and Co-Packaging
Co-packaging optics modules with switch chips is not practical due to reliability concerns. Optics modules have a low Mean Time Between Failure (MTBF), and co-packaging would increase the failure rate of the entire system. Reliability needs to be significantly improved for co-packaging to become viable.
Physical Transceiver Formats: OSFP vs. DD
OSFP has a larger installed base than DD and offers better thermal performance. DD modules run hotter and have a higher failure rate compared to OSFP modules due to temperature differences. OSFP is preferred for high-power modules like Ethernet Geek, which will have a projected power consumption of 24 watts.
8. Power, Cost, and Reliability Considerations:
Power consumption, yield, and cost remain critical factors in the adoption of new technologies. TSMC’s advanced process technologies, despite their higher costs, are gaining traction due to their lower power consumption and increased transistor count. However, co-packaging optics modules on switch chips is still impractical due to reliability concerns, highlighting the need for advancements in optics reliability.
Cost Benefits and Performance: Merchant silicon routers offer an order of magnitude lower cost per port compared to legacy routers, and CR modules are significantly lower in cost compared to traditional DWM and optical line systems. This cost reduction enables wider adoption and enhanced network performance.
9. Aligning Server Infrastructure with Networking Advancements:
The server infrastructure is evolving to keep pace with the increased line speeds of 400 gigabits through technologies like PCI Gen 4 and dual 100-gigabit NICs. These advancements align with the growing core counts and throughput demands of modern applications, indicating a future where high-speed networking is seamlessly integrated into server architectures, enabling efficient and scalable data processing.
Port Density and Server Infrastructure
With 800G chips, it is possible to achieve 25.6 terabits per 1U, providing extremely high port density. Server infrastructure is catching up, with the introduction of PCI Gen 4 and new server chips that can support dual 100-gigabit uplinks. Dual 100-gigabit NICs are expected to become common in the next two years for improved throughput and cost-effectiveness.
The relentless march of Moore’s Law, combined with groundbreaking advancements in networking chips and optics technology, is reshaping the landscape of networking. The industry is moving towards more efficient, powerful, and cost-effective solutions. While challenges such as escalating design costs and reliability concerns persist, the future of networking holds immense promise, driven by continuous innovation and the demand for faster, more connected, and data-intensive applications.
Closing Remarks
Andreas Bechtolsheim expressed his hope that the discussion was interesting and informative, showcasing his enthusiasm and willingness to engage in future discussions on these topics.
Notes by: TransistorZero