Steven Chu (USA Secretary of Energy) – Remarks at Oak Ridge National Lab (Mar 2010)


Chapters

00:00:00 Energy Challenges and Oak Ridge's Role in Overcoming Them
00:04:09 Climate Change: Compelling Evidence of Human-Caused Warming
00:07:38 Evidence of Human-Caused Global Warming
00:11:41 Carbon-14 Levels Reveal Human Impact on Climate Change
00:15:41 Satellite Measurements of Greenland Ice Melt
00:18:52 America's Declining Leadership in Clean Energy Innovation
00:22:59 China's Changing Energy Economy and Infrastructure Development
00:27:37 Energy Efficiency Innovations and Enforcement
00:31:33 Energy-Efficient Building Design and Retrofits
00:36:39 Energy Innovations for a Clean Future
00:46:01 Innovative Techniques for Carbon Capture and Storage
00:48:44 Government Funding for Energy Innovation Hubs
00:54:01 Challenges and Opportunities in Energy Innovation

Abstract

Navigating the Energy and Climate Challenge: Insights from Secretary Chu and the Role of U.S. Research and Innovation

In a sweeping address, Dr. Stephen Chu, the newly appointed Secretary of Energy, laid out a bold vision for the future of energy and climate change, highlighting the integral role of the Oak Ridge National Laboratory, collaboration with academia, and the urgent need for global action on climate change. Dr. Chu’s speech, rich with personal experiences, evidence on human-induced climate change, and a call to action, underscored the imperative for technological innovation, energy efficiency, and policy reform to address the escalating challenges of climate change and energy sustainability.

Introduction: The New Energy Secretary’s Vision

Dr. Stephen Chu, upon assuming his role as Secretary of Energy, addressed key Department of Energy (DOE) elements at Oak Ridge, underscoring the laboratory’s pivotal role in addressing energy challenges. This event marked a significant shift in focus towards sustainable energy and combating climate change. Dr. Chu emphasized the importance of the missions of the Department of Energy: to decrease dependency on foreign oil, mitigate against climate change, and ensure future competitiveness through basic and applied research. He stated that future competitiveness lies in addressing energy and climate challenges.

Oak Ridge’s Pivotal Role

Recognizing its world-class status, Oak Ridge National Laboratory was granted a five-year extension, a testament to its critical contributions in energy research and innovation. Dr. Chu highlighted Oak Ridge’s reputation as a well-managed office of science lab.

Partnership with Academia

Emphasizing the synergy between research institutions and academia, Dr. Chu drew parallels to his experiences at UC Berkeley and Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, illustrating the potent combination of academic and research collaboration. He shared his experience as a graduate student, postdoc, and LBNL employee at UC Berkeley. He emphasized the integral role of faculty members from the UC system as principal investigators at Berkeley Lab, contributing to its strength. He also recognized the successful partnership between Oak Ridge and the University of Tennessee, similar to the partnership between Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory and the University of California system.

Evidence of Climate Change

Dr. Chu presented incontrovertible evidence of climate change, from thermometer measurements showing a steady rise in global temperatures since 1880 to paleoclimate records and climate models affirming human activities as primary drivers. He noted that direct thermometer measurements from 1880 to 2008 show an increase in average temperature. However, he also pointed out that ripples, downward trends, and plateaus in the temperature record are not fully understood. He emphasized that strong evidence for climate change requires a long-term perspective, at least 150 years. Recent evidence has strengthened the case for climate change.

Human Influence and Climate Forcings

The significant human impact through activities like burning fossil fuels was highlighted. Climate models incorporating these forcings align closely with observed temperature changes, negating theories attributing the rise to natural causes. A study shows that human forces, such as greenhouse gases and land use, are the likely cause of recent climate change. Removing human influences from the climate model results in no increase in temperatures over the last 50-60 years. Major volcanic eruptions cause temporary cooling effects.

Dismissing Solar Effects

Satellite measurements have shown that solar intensity and sunspots have not changed significantly enough to explain the temperature rise, countering arguments that solar activity is responsible for current climate trends. Solar cycles and sunspots have not significantly changed over the past 30 years, indicating that the sun’s variability is not the cause of rising global temperatures.

The Role of CO2 and Carbon-14

Current CO2 levels are at their highest in millions of years, with a projected significant increase. Carbon-14 evidence from fossils and atmospheric data further supports the role of human activity in rising CO2 levels. The ratio of carbon-14 to carbon-12 isotopes indicates that the increase in carbon dioxide is due to the burning of fossil fuels, not natural processes. When fossil fuels are burned, they release carbon dioxide that lacks carbon-14, indicating their non-renewable nature and the need for transitioning to renewable energy sources.

Fossil Fuel Carbon Diluting Radioactive Carbon in the Atmosphere

Human activities, particularly the burning of fossil fuels, release large amounts of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere. Fossil fuel carbon dilutes the radioactive carbon in the atmosphere, causing a decrease in the overall amount of carbon-14.

H-Bomb Testing and Stratosphere-Troposphere Mixing

Atmospheric testing of H-bombs in the mid-1950s released significant amounts of carbon-14 into the upper atmosphere. The mixing of the stratosphere and troposphere resulted in yearly cycles of carbon-14 concentrations, allowing for measurements of the mixing time between the hemispheres.

Ocean Absorption of Carbon-14 and Mixing Times

Carbon-14 from the atmosphere is absorbed by the ocean, providing another measurement of the mixing time between the Northern and Southern Hemispheres. The rate of carbon-14 decay is influenced by the continuous release of fossil fuel carbon into the atmosphere.

Human-Caused Increase in Greenhouse Gases

Solar energy reaching Earth remains constant, but greenhouse gases, primarily caused by human activities, are increasing. The increase in greenhouse gases reduces the amount of energy leaving the Earth, leading to a rise in global temperatures.

The Greenhouse Effect and Earth’s Response

Dr. Chu discussed how greenhouse gases trap solar energy, causing global warming, and the complex and uncertain nature of Earth’s compensatory mechanisms like cloud behavior.

Partial Compensation and Atmospheric Science Modeling

The Earth’s climate system may partially compensate for the increased greenhouse gases by reflecting more sunlight and releasing more heat. Atmospheric science and computer modeling aim to understand the details of this partial compensation and the complex interactions between clouds, water vapor, and biofeedbacks.

Uncertainty and Ongoing Research

Ongoing research continues to reduce uncertainties in climate models by incorporating more detailed information, such as biofeedbacks and the mixing of the upper and lower atmosphere. This process is similar to the gradual reduction of uncertainties in weather forecasting over time.

Ongoing Climate Research

Continued refinement of climate models is crucial for better understanding feedbacks and processes in climate change. These include studying Greenland’s ice melt and predicting precipitation patterns in the U.S.

Measuring the Melting of Greenland’s Ice Pack

Two precision satellites were deployed to monitor Greenland’s ice mass changes. These satellites detected slight orbital perturbations and changes in the distance between them due to the presence of Greenland’s ice. The data collected showed a clear decrease in Greenland’s ice mass, despite an increase in snowfall.

Consistency of Data Sources

Ice core samples spanning 20 years corroborated the satellite data, providing a comprehensive understanding of Greenland’s melting process.

Climate Models’ Predictions

Climate models projected an increase in winter and early spring precipitation in the United States. The models also predicted a decrease in precipitation during the growing season, particularly in grain-producing regions.

Economic and Industry Perspectives

Addressing economic concerns, Dr. Chu emphasized the opportunity rather than the risk in addressing climate change, predicting rising oil prices and a shift towards a carbon-constrained world driven by advancements in climate science.

Reason for Optimism

The presentation emphasized a message of optimism, aiming to showcase the incredible opportunities that could arise from addressing climate change.

U.S. Innovation in Decline?

A historical perspective was given on the U.S.’s declining market share in key energy technologies like solar cells and batteries, highlighting the need for a rejuvenation in American innovation.

American Innovation Machine

The United States has historically been a leader in energy innovation, with inventions like the silicon photocell, transistor, laser, and satellite communication. However, the United States has lost its leadership in many of these technologies to Europe, Japan, and China.

Examples of Decline

In 1996, the United States had 45% of the market share for silicon photocells, but it has now dropped to around 6% in 2008. American automobile industry, once a global leader, now lags behind in fuel efficiency. 98% of hybrid vehicle batteries are made in Asia. The United States no longer has any major manufacturers of heavy-duty transmission equipment. France, Japan, and Korea are now leaders in nuclear power, despite the first nuclear reactor being built in the United States.

China’s Green Energy Push

China’s aggressive move towards clean energy, including heavy investment in nuclear power and high-voltage electricity transmission, was presented as both a challenge and a model for the U.S.

Energy Efficiency and Standards

The success story of refrigerator efficiency improvements was used to underscore the potential of government standards in driving energy efficiency, along with the DOE’s enforcement of these standards.

Energy Efficiency in Buildings

– Energy efficiency in buildings is a significant opportunity for energy savings.

– The Department of Energy is expanding its energy efficiency standards program and enforcing existing standards for the first time.

– Buildings can be designed with integrated energy analysis to optimize energy efficiency.

– Real-time commissioning can save 5-10% of energy costs by adjusting energy usage based on real-time conditions.

– Retrofitting homes for energy efficiency can result in significant savings and increased comfort, with a payback period of 1-2 years.

– Current building standards for energy efficiency are inadequate. Investing in energy-efficient construction can pay for itself in a short period.

Policy, Standards, and Community Initiatives

The need for stronger energy efficiency standards and community initiatives to overcome barriers to energy-efficient practices was emphasized, highlighting the long-term savings and environmental benefits.

Renewable Energy and Grid Management

As renewable energy sources like solar and wind become more prevalent, challenges arise in managing their intermittent nature and integrating them into the electrical grid. Smart grids and storage capacity, such as pumped water storage, are crucial for balancing two-way flows and maintaining grid stability. Coordinated pump storage integration and research into compressed air storage are essential.

Nuclear Power and Transportation Fuels

The role of nuclear power in the energy mix and the challenges in electrifying personal vehicles, including developing efficient batteries, were discussed. Biofuels and vehicle efficiency were identified as key areas for decarbonizing the transportation sector.

Agricultural Innovations and Carbon Capture

Dr. Chu called for breakthroughs in carbon capture technologies and agricultural practices to reduce carbon emissions, underscoring the importance of scientific collaboration and innovation in these fields.

Lessons from Historical Research Labs

The successful models of past U.S. research labs, characterized by scientist-led decision-making and flexible funding, were presented as blueprints for the DOE’s Energy Innovation Hubs and ARPA-E.

A New Industrial Revolution

In conclusion, Dr. Chu called for a new industrial revolution in clean energy, driven by ingenuity, hard work, and commitment. He stressed the need for scalable and cost-effective energy solutions and the role of national labs in spearheading this transformation, emphasizing the critical nature of the challenge and the unparalleled opportunity it presents for the United States.


Notes by: BraveBaryon