Sebastian Thrun (Udacity Co-founder) – Universal Law of Invention – Build it. Break it. Improve it. (Sep 2015)


Chapters

00:00:00 Google Self-Driving Cars and AI Innovations
00:02:07 Evolution of Self-Driving Cars: From DARPA Challenge to Unveiling the Future
00:07:51 Evolution of Computers: From Mainframes to Glass to Iris
00:13:09 Google X Projects: Glucose-Monitoring Contact Lenses and Project Loon Balloons
00:18:41 Bringing Internet Connectivity to Remote Areas
00:21:11 Revolutionizing Education and Employment through Online Degrees and Nano Degrees
00:26:10 Silicon Valley's Education Revolution: Udacity's Global Impact and Challenges
00:33:22 The Future of Learning and Technology
00:38:12 The Future of Education and AI: Opportunities and Risks
00:47:24 Practical Considerations and Challenges in Creating Self-Driving Cars
00:50:11 Challenges and Opportunities for Technological Innovation in India
00:56:37 Career Advice for Tech Innovators

Abstract

Sebastian Thrun: Innovator at the Intersection of AI, Education, and the Future of Technology

Introduction

Renowned artificial intelligence expert Sebastian Thrun, notable for his work on Google’s self-driving car and Google Glass, recently engaged with engineers at Flipkart. Thrun shared insights into AI, the evolution of online education, and his vision for the future. This article explores Thrun’s journey, highlighting his significant contributions, innovative mindset, and the impact of his work on technology and education.

From Academia to Google’s Pioneering Projects

Thrun’s academic excellence, with faculty positions at Carnegie Mellon and Stanford, laid the foundation for his groundbreaking work. In 2005, he initiated a self-driving car project at Stanford, inspired by the DARPA Grand Challenge. His team developed “Stanley,” which won the competition, completing a 130-mile desert route.

Google co-founders, recognizing Thrun’s talent, enlisted him to further develop this technology. Under his leadership, the project aimed to navigate complex Californian traffic over 1,000 miles, setting a new standard for autonomous vehicles.

Breakthroughs in AI and Self-Driving Cars

Thrun’s insights into AI reveal the significant advantage of collective learning in self-driving cars. Each mistake made by an autonomous vehicle contributes to the overall improvement of the fleet, surpassing human learning curves. Thrun underscores the necessity of trusting AI systems, especially when they demonstrate superior capabilities compared to humans.

Additionally, liability for accidents involving self-driving cars should fall on the manufacturer, leading to lower insurance rates for drivers as the number of accidents decreases. Furthermore, as accidents become rare, the costs associated with them will diminish, resulting in overall cost savings for drivers.

Google Glass and Project Iris

Another of Thrun’s ventures, Google Glass, showcased a next-generation computer platform with diverse features like a camera, display, and Wi-Fi. Despite challenges in social settings, Glass demonstrated potential in photography and hands-free communication. Thrun also mentioned Project Iris, which involves a computer on the eye, exploring new frontiers in wearable technology.

Thrun expressed uncertainty about the concept of self-consciousness in machines. He emphasized the importance of complementary traits, seeking machine-like qualities rather than replicating human ones. According to Thrun, non-self-conscious machines are preferred for their functionality and efficiency, as opposed to mimicking human behaviors such as cheating or lying.

Revolutionizing Online Education: Udacity’s Emergence

Sebastian Thrun’s experience with his AI class, which unexpectedly attracted 160,000 students, led him to co-found Udacity. Udacity’s model, offering affordable “nanodegrees” in collaboration with industry giants like Google and Facebook, aims to bridge the gap between education and industry requirements. These courses focus on job-relevant skills, attracting a global audience and revolutionizing online learning.

Udacity collaborates with various Silicon Valley companies, aiming to redefine education and transform companies into the universities of the future. Google, Facebook, Amazon, and Twitter are among the companies involved in this initiative. Udacity offers free and paid online courses, with the free version being particularly popular in India. The company employs graders and mentors from around the world to provide personalized feedback and assistance to students. This approach aims to improve motivation, engagement, and completion rates. Udacity has a network of instructors and students worldwide, enabling peer learning and collaboration. India is the second largest country in terms of engagement, with significant growth in both free and paid course enrollments. Udacity sees a mismatch between the skills taught in universities and the demands of the job market in India. Many engineering graduates lack the necessary skills for employment. Udacity’s programs aim to bridge this gap by teaching contemporary skills in high demand, such as iOS and Android development, big data science, and more. Udacity’s courses have a monthly fee, but half of the tuition is refunded upon completion. Scholarships are available through Tata Trusts and Google, making education more accessible to students in India.

In the past, Udacity focused on MOOCs, but the company is now concentrating on nanodegrees due to the challenges of working with universities. The goal is to build programs with the students that address their interests and needs. Nanodegrees are recognized credentials that lead to job opportunities, unlike MOOCs, which are often seen as mere content access. Nanodegrees focus on learning by doing, providing feedback, and involving mentors, resulting in higher completion rates.

Impact on Indian Education and Global Reach

Thrun noted the gap in Indian education, where engineering graduates often lack industry-relevant skills. Udacity’s presence in India, providing courses in cutting-edge fields like big data and iOS development, is a significant step towards addressing this issue. The platform’s innovative approach and global accessibility have made it a key player in education’s future.

Challenges and the Future of Technology

Thrun’s involvement in various Google X projects, like Project Loon and the contact lens glucose sensor, demonstrates his commitment to using technology for societal benefit. However, these projects also faced challenges, including diplomatic negotiations and misconceptions. His views on AI as a beneficial force contrast with the dystopian perspectives often portrayed in media.

Google X Projects: Blood Sugar Monitoring and Stratospheric Balloons

Google X developed a contact lens that measures blood sugar levels through tears. Eliminating the need for finger pricking, it provides a more reliable blood sugar measurement. This has potential applications for millions of people with diabetes. Google X also aimed to provide internet access to remote areas worldwide using high-altitude balloons. These balloons float in the stratosphere, providing broadband connectivity to underserved regions. They are easier to launch and maintain than satellites and can remain operational for extended periods. However, engineering challenges, including extreme temperature variations and solar radiation, were encountered. Unintentional flights over India led to diplomatic tensions, but creative solutions, like contacting ambassadors, were employed to address concerns and avoid further incidents.

Google X has made significant progress in expanding connectivity to remote areas. New versions of connectivity planes, operating in a geostationary manner and powered by solar energy, are being developed. These planes charge batteries during the day and maintain altitude during the night, at a significantly lower cost compared to satellites. Meanwhile, Sebastian Thrun left Google X to pursue educational endeavors. He founded Udacity India to promote online education opportunities, including an AI class taped early in the morning. Thrun’s dedication to balancing multiple commitments while teaching at Stanford during the day exemplifies his passion for education.

Revolutionizing Education through Online Learning

Thrun’s decision to make his Artificial Intelligence class free online attracted 160,000 students. Overcoming challenges, he created a technology platform to teach and grade a massive number of students. Receiving stories from diverse students, including soldiers in Afghanistan and mothers raising children, showcased the global reach of online education. Discovering that online students outperformed Stanford students in an assessment highlighted the potential of individuals beyond traditional educational institutions. Thrun’s mission to democratize education led him to build a new university from scratch.

Sebastian Thrun’s Vision for Online Education and India’s Role

Sebastian Thrun believes humans have a poor capacity for information storage, retrieval, and retention. He credits the invention of books with enabling humans to store information outside the brain, leading to significant societal advancements. The digital revolution has further expanded our ability to memorize and process information beyond human capabilities. Thrun predicts that humans will increasingly outsource their personal experiences by using technology like Google Glass to record and learn from everything they do. He believes that by observing people’s behavior, it will become possible to predict their actions and replicate them through technology. This could lead to the development of robots that can perform tasks like managing email or creating software. Thrun acknowledges the challenge of language diversity in countries like India, where access to technology and education varies widely across regions. He suggests that transitioning to a single language, such as English or Hindi, could increase the accessibility of MOOCs in India. Translating materials into multiple languages and relying on volunteer translators have been strategies used to expand the reach of MOOCs. Thrun discusses the potential of virtual and immersive reality technologies, such as Google Cardboard and Oculus Rift, as future e-commerce platforms. He highlights the possibility of using these technologies to enable users to easily order items by taking pictures of them. The see-through devices, like those being developed by Magic Leap, could also play a role in e-commerce by overlaying digital information onto the real world.

The Future of Education and AI: Sebastian Thrun’s Insights

Sebastian Thrun acknowledges the potential shift from search and catalogs to physical world indexing but emphasizes the current limitations in recognition rates. Thrun believes AI will enhance human capabilities rather than pose a threat. He cites historical examples of technological advancements bringing positive consequences. Thrun dismisses the idea of AI taking over the world, viewing it as a tool for human empowerment.

Thrun disagrees with Musk’s pessimistic view of AI as a threat to humanity. He argues that AI will not enslave humans but rather serve as a tool for progress. Thrun believes the current higher education system is inadequate and needs transformation. He anticipates a shift towards online, cost-effective, and alternative universities.

Thrun downplays the moral dilemma of Google cars choosing between saving a five-year-old girl or a 93-year-old lady. He emphasizes the safety features of self-driving cars and argues that such scenarios are unlikely to occur. Thrun compares the moral implications to other technologies like kitchen knives and medication, which also carry the potential for harm.

Conclusion

Sebastian Thrun’s career, marked by a willingness to leave his comfort zone and learn from challenges, serves as an inspiration. His contributions to AI, wearable technology, and online education underline the transformative power of technology. As Thrun continues to push boundaries, his work not only shapes the technological landscape but also redefines the paradigms of education and innovation.


Notes by: Flaneur