Prince Turki Al Faisal (Saudi Arabia Former Government Official) – Davos 2015 – Iraq and Syria The Strategic Context (Feb 2015)


Chapters

00:00:16 Geopolitical and Geoeconomic Shifts in Iraq and Saudi Arabia Due to Security Emergencies
00:03:52 ISIS: A Complex Issue Requiring a Multifaceted Solution
00:14:48 Complexities of Combating ISIS in Iraq: A Regional Perspective
00:22:35 Clash of Civilizations: ISIS and the Struggle Against Global Extremism
00:28:01 Regional Kurdish Statehood Aspirations in Post-Constitution Iraq
00:34:58 Global Strategy for Countering ISIS
00:40:05 Iraqi Problems and Accountability
00:43:41 International Perspectives on Regional Challenges in the Middle East
00:52:24 Iraq's Challenges and the Need for Regional Stability

Abstract

Unraveling the Complexities of Iraq’s Security, Political Landscape, and Regional Dynamics

*Combating ISIS and the Pursuit of Stability in Iraq*

In the intricate security environment of Iraq, where multiple forces including coalition troops, Shiite militias, the Iraqi army, Peshmerga, and ISIS vie for dominance, the lack of coordination emerges as a critical impediment to effective action against ISIS. Nearly a third of Iraq remains under ISIS control, highlighting the challenges in coordinating efforts to liberate these areas. The military approach, while essential, proves insufficient on its own; political reconciliation and addressing grievances are equally crucial. This sentiment is echoed by British Foreign Secretary’s estimation that expelling ISIS from Iraq could take up to two years, a time span that poses significant challenges for sustained global involvement. Dr. Ayad Allawi emphasizes the need for coordination among different parties and reconciliation with the people in ISIS-occupied regions, which is crucial for the long-term success of the liberation battle.

*The Broader Context: Ayad Allawi and Prince Turki Al Faisal Al Saud’s Perspectives*

Ayad Allawi offers a unique lens, referring to ISIS as “fathers” to underline their oppressive role and attributing the complexity in Iraq partly to U.S. and Iranian maneuvers to retain Nouri al-Maliki as prime minister. This, he argues, exacerbated sectarian tensions and led to the rise of ISIS. Contrastingly, Prince Turki Al Faisal Al Saud announces a unification program by the new Iraqi government, highlighting a move towards reconciliation.

*Rima Maktabi, John Baird, and Rowsch N. Shaways: Diverse Insights*

Rima Maktabi questions the sole culpability of Nouri al-Maliki for Iraq’s woes, suggesting a multifaceted problem. John Baird, stressing a multi-pronged approach to tackle ISIS, highlights the new Iraqi government’s progress but urges more inclusive governance. Similarly, Rowsch N. Shaways critiques the effectiveness of funding and training provided to the Iraqi army since 2003, calling for improved intelligence sharing.

*ISIS’s Global Reach and the Struggle Against It*

ISIS’s expansion beyond Iraq and Syria marks a regional threat, emphasizing the fight in Iraq as pivotal. The challenges include Sunni alienation, Iranian-backed militia involvement, and the need for specialized Iraqi forces. The international response, deemed insufficient, raises concerns about the effectiveness of global strategies against ISIS. Engaging the Sunni tribes is essential for gaining support and fighting ISIS effectively. The militias backed by Iran are committing atrocities against Sunnis, alienating them further.

*ISIS as a Global Threat: A Clash of Civilizations*

Prince Turki Al Faisal Al Saud views the fight against ISIS as a global “clash for civilization,” underlining the group’s severe atrocities and the need for a comprehensive response. ISIS’s recruitment and operations span across multiple countries, highlighting the need for intelligence sharing and cooperation to combat the threat. John Baird recognizes terrorism as a global phenomenon that requires a global response, comparable to the struggles against fascism and communism in the past century. Baird emphasizes the need to combat ISIS’s propaganda and efforts to radicalize individuals, in addition to military efforts in Iraq and Syria.

*Historical and Political Foundations of Extremism*

The dismantlement of Iraq’s state apparatus post-2003 invasion, along with sectarian policies and regional interference (notably Iran’s), laid the groundwork for extremism’s rise in Iraq. The political landscape underscores the need for a new social contract focusing on inclusive policies and rebuilding national institutions. De-Baathification and sectarianism fueled regional powers’ intervention in Iraq. Iran has significant influence in Iraq, supporting militias and controlling the political environment. The army lost its national character and lacked motivation to fight due to political interference.

*Coalition Efforts and Civilizational Clash*

The coalition against ISIS, involving various countries, faces hurdles like European reluctance to bomb in Syria and Iraq’s rejection of Arab military contributions.

*ISIS’s Global Terrorism and the Kurdish Question*

John Baird likens ISIS to historical global threats, emphasizing the need for a worldwide counter-response. Meanwhile, the question of Kurdish statehood emerges amid Iraq’s instability, reflecting a global trend towards self-determination. However, the feasibility of a Kurdish state remains complicated due to regional dynamics.

*Addressing Kurdish Grievances and Aspirations*

The Kurds’ struggle for recognition and rights within Iraq highlights the need for a fair, inclusive Iraqi state. While Kurdish aspirations for statehood are acknowledged, the regional implications and historical context suggest a cautious approach.

*Unity, Diversity, and Regional Dynamics in Iraq*

The need for a unified Iraq, respecting its diverse ethnic and sectarian makeup, is paramount for stability. Sectarianism, regional proxy wars, and the role of external powers like Iran and Saudi Arabia add layers to the complex regional dynamics. The proposed regional conference aims to address these issues through dialogue and mutual respect.

* A Path Forward for Iraq and the Region*

Iraq’s journey towards stability and peace necessitates addressing both immediate security concerns and deeper political, social, and regional issues. The role of regional and global actors, the importance of inclusive governance, and the resolution of longstanding grievances are crucial for creating a sustainable, peaceful future for Iraq and its neighbors.

(Supplemental Updates Included)

*Questions and Answers in Iraq*

Questions from the audience highlighted concerns about the feasibility of Iraqi unity, accountability for the Iraqi government, and regional influences. Prince Turki Al Faisal responded by emphasizing the importance of accountability and addressing the concerns of the Sunni population.

*The Regional Influence of Saudi Arabia and Iran in Iraq*

Discussions focused on the negative role of Iran in the region, its support for Assad and terrorism, and the need for cooperation and dialogue between regional countries.

*Iraq Needs Stability and Regional Cooperation*

The conference emphasized the importance of stability in Iraq, mutual understanding, and regional cooperation to address terrorism, humanitarian crises, and other challenges facing the country.


Notes by: MatrixKarma