Jeff Dean (Google Senior Fellow) – Flexible systems are the next frontier of machine learning (Jun 2019)
Chapters
00:00:10 Exploring Flexible Machine Learning Systems
AI Salon Overview: AI Salon is a biweekly series where attendees discuss high-level topics in machine learning and AI, with the aim of stepping away from day-to-day research and considering how their work fits into society. The events are modeled after Enlightenment era salons, with no electronics or whiteboards, and an open discussion format.
Introduction of Guests: Jeff Dean, head of Google AI and co-founder of Google Brain, is an expert in large-scale distributed systems, performance monitoring, machine learning applications, and new product development. Chris Ray, associate professor in the Stanford computer science department, is affiliated with the Statistical Machine Learning Group, the Pervasive Parallelism Lab, and the Sanford AI Lab. Ray’s research aims to enable users and developers to build applications that deeply understand and exploit data, spanning database theory, systems, and machine learning.
Opening Statements: Jeff Dean will provide an opening statement introducing the topic of flexible machine learning systems from his perspective. Chris Ray will follow with his own opening statement, also introducing the topic from his perspective. After the opening statements, the discussion will be opened up to attendees to ask questions and share their thoughts.
00:04:08 Pushing the Boundaries of Machine Learning: Towards One Model for All Tasks
Machine Learning Challenges and Opportunities: Current machine learning approaches excel at supervised learning tasks, especially when large datasets are available. Multitask learning has proven effective, whether simultaneous or using transfer learning techniques. Training a single model for all tasks is an ambitious goal with the potential to revolutionize machine learning. Practical implementation requires a sparsely activated model to avoid excessive resource usage for specific tasks.
Software Engineering Transformation: Massive multitask models are changing how software is built. Traditional joint inference and learning systems required complex coding and specialized expertise. Modern machine learning tools have shifted the focus towards data feeding, debugging, and other operational tasks. Software engineers are increasingly starting from transfer learning baselines and building upon them.
System Requirements and Considerations: A large-scale system is needed to accommodate thousands or millions of tasks. The system should be resilient to partial failures and maintain reasonable performance even with components down. Distributed systems challenges arise due to the system’s size and complexity. The model’s activation should be sparse, engaging only relevant parts for a given task.
Conclusion: The future of machine learning lies in developing sparsely activated models that can handle a vast range of tasks. This approach has the potential to revolutionize software engineering by simplifying the development process and enabling more efficient utilization of resources.
00:09:56 Challenges and Opportunities in Multitask Learning Systems: Performance, Hardware, and Software Tools
Unifying Knowledge and Rich Vocabularies: Multitask systems offer a richer vocabulary for developers, making it easier to communicate high-level expressions of what the model should learn. This enables developers to build models more flexibly and spend their time more effectively.
Performance Challenges: There is a lack of software tools and computer science research to support the development and maintenance of multitask systems. Performance remains a critical challenge, and improvements are needed in both hardware and algorithms. Sparse models and more data flow-oriented processors could potentially offer significant performance gains.
Quantum Computing Implications: Quantum computing may have implications for certain types of machine learning problems, such as cryptography and training trillion-parameter neural net models. However, it is likely to be narrowly focused on specific problem domains.
00:18:49 Multitask Learning: Challenges, Opportunities, and Unsupervised Learning
Multitask Learning: Multitask learning involves training a model on multiple tasks simultaneously, potentially leading to improved performance on each task. However, large-scale multitask learning with thousands or millions of tasks is still an open question, and the gains achieved may not be trivial. Despite challenges, there are promising applications in software engineering, where closely related tasks with different organizational units can benefit from code reuse and faster model development.
Unsupervised Learning: Unsupervised learning has often struggled to achieve significant success, particularly when followed by supervised training on learned representations. A potential solution lies in interleaving supervised examples with unsupervised data, allowing the algorithm to identify important features in the unsupervised data that are relevant to multiple supervised tasks. This approach may lead to improved performance in unsupervised learning.
Grounded Visual QA: Combining vision and language tasks has shown promising results in multitask learning, especially in the medical domain. Combining these tasks can provide a non-trivial lift in performance compared to training them independently.
Challenges and Opportunities: Large-scale multitask learning with thousands or millions of tasks remains an open question, requiring further research and experimentation. Unsupervised learning shows promise when interleaved with supervised examples, offering a potential path to improved performance. Combining vision and language tasks has demonstrated success in multitask learning, particularly in the medical domain, suggesting opportunities for further exploration and application.
00:25:52 Human-Level Intelligence: Overcoming the Challenges of Associative Memory and Advers
Associative Memory in Human Cognition: Human brains have associative memory, a powerful mechanism for dealing with unfamiliar situations. This mechanism fetches relevant information based on auditory, visual, or semantic similarity.
Associative Memory in Machine Learning: Machine learning currently lacks associative algorithms that resemble human performance. Models with enormous capacity can learn representations where similar activations correspond to similar experiences.
Adversarial Examples: Adversarial examples are inputs that cause machine learning models to make incorrect predictions. It is unclear whether adversarial examples reveal weaknesses in the models or limitations in their learning.
Implications for Flexible Learning: Adversarial examples challenge the idea that machine learning models can learn flexibly across different tasks. If models are susceptible to adversarial examples, it suggests that they may not have truly learned the underlying concepts.
Connections to Flexible Learning and Learning Across Different Tasks: The discussion on associative memory and adversarial examples highlights the importance of flexible learning and learning across different tasks. Models that can learn and generalize across different tasks may be more robust to adversarial examples.
00:29:20 Adversarial Examples and Interpretability
Adversarial Examples: Adversarial examples are fascinating and fun to work on, but we can sometimes overthink them. Resource-constrained environments can fool people in similar ways to adversarial examples fooling models. The existence of adversarial examples in high dimensions doesn’t question the fundamental tenets of deep models. Percy’s and John’s work on certifying robustness to perturbations is promising.
Multitask Learning and Adversarial Examples: It’s unclear if multitask learning makes models more or less susceptible to adversarial examples. Multitask adversarial examples are an interesting direction to explore.
Human Perception vs. Model Perception: Humans have more training and experience than models, making them less susceptible to adversarial examples. With more time to evaluate, humans can recognize adversarial examples that initially fool them. Models need to propose multiple interpretations of data and evaluate consequences to be robust.
Interpretability of Multitask Models: The correlation between multitask models and interpretability is unclear. Some multitask models have achieved interpretability, but more research is needed.
00:32:48 Future Directions in Machine Learning System Development
Interpretability and Human Dialogue: Recent advancements in interpretability techniques, such as attention mechanisms and visualization techniques, have improved our ability to understand model predictions. However, humans remain more interpretable than AI systems, as we can engage in dialogues to understand their reasoning and beliefs.
Regulation of AI Systems: The deployment of AI systems raises concerns about the need for regulation. The AI safety group at Stanford is actively researching these issues and exploring potential solutions. More flexible AI systems may not necessarily complicate regulation, as they can provide richer information for debugging and error correction.
Multitask Systems and Adversarial Examples: Multitask systems, which perform multiple tasks simultaneously, may offer advantages in interpretability. However, the potential for adversarial examples that exploit this multitask capability remains an unexplored area.
High-Level Libraries and Future ML Interfaces: High-level libraries like PyTorch and TensorFlow have significantly contributed to the progress of machine learning. The future of ML interfaces may involve software infrastructure that supports various ways of expressing computations and maps them onto different hardware platforms. The evolution of ML systems may resemble scripting languages, with rapid changes in abstractions and expression methods.
Collaboration and Software Engineering Challenges: Training models that perform multiple tasks may require collaboration among multiple individuals, unlike the current practice of isolated model development. Software engineering challenges arise in managing the complexity of such collaborative efforts.
00:37:58 Exploring the Future of Machine Learning: AI as Architect
Software Tools for Machine Learning Management: Machine learning models need to be managed, collaborated on, put into production, and monitored. Currently, there is a lack of software tools for this purpose, which will likely lead to the development of new tools.
Uncertainty in the Future of Machine Learning: It is unclear what will happen to the existing machine learning frameworks like TensorFlow and PyTorch. New frameworks may emerge for specific tasks like reinforcement learning or observational modeling. The need for these frameworks may decrease if AutoML becomes more powerful.
Abstractions and Interfaces for Machine Learning: There is a need for higher-level abstractions and interfaces for machine learning to make it more accessible and user-friendly. This could involve combining ideas from neural architecture search, AutoML, and sparse expert models.
Differentiation in Machine Learning Tools: Machine learning tools may differentiate into different categories, similar to how programming languages vary from powerful tools for power users to scripting languages for casual users. This differentiation may lead to different camps of users with different needs and preferences.
AI Designing AI Systems: While neural architecture search has shown promising results in outperforming human-engineered architectures, it still requires human expertise to craft the search space. It is unclear whether AI can design entire systems without human input, as the search space for such systems is vast and complex.
00:43:10 Transfer Learning: Computational Models and Neural Networks
Benefits of Machine Learning for Experimentation: Machines excel at conducting repeated experiments and learning from observations. They can run thousands of experiments in a short time, surpassing the capabilities of human researchers.
Transfer Learning in Human Learning: Expertise involves a set of knowledge elements that different tasks depend on. Transfer occurs when knowledge from one task is applied to a new task with overlapping elements.
Computational Models of Transfer in Human Learning: Rule-based models represent knowledge elements as rules. Structural analogy models use case-based representations.
Transfer Learning in Neural Networks: Neural networks can potentially implement transfer learning by activating relevant parts of the network for specific tasks. However, this approach is not commonly discussed in the field.
Importance of Core Ideas in Transfer Learning: Researchers should not overlook the core ideas of transfer learning in the excitement about new learning methods. It is essential to continue exploring how to achieve the same effects observed in human learning within the new framework of neural networks.
00:45:53 Neural Networks with Mixtures of Experts for Diverse Tasks
Knowledge Elements in Neural Networks: The neural network consists of different centers of expertise, which are pathways through the model. For different tasks, there can be different subnetworks, and the goal is to build them all over time.
Sparsely Gated Mixture of Experts: A traditional neural network can be modified by grafting thousands of experts (miniature neural networks) into it. A learned routing function determines which expert is best suited for a particular example. In language models, these experts develop different kinds of expertise about different aspects of language.
Neural Architecture Search: In neural architecture search, the structure of the neural network is optimized for a specific task. This can lead to networks with fewer parameters and higher accuracy. The combination of knowledge elements, sparsely gated mixture of experts, and neural architecture search can lead to more powerful and efficient neural networks.
Multi-Task Learning and Modularity: Models can evolve structures based on the problems they solve, finding accurate structures that work well for them. Each expert can run its own architecture search, routing examples from different tasks to learn similar tasks or contexts. There are attempts to explicitly figure out modularity boundaries of tasks, such that the model can move on to the next bit of the task once it has mastered the previous ones. Current multitask systems are built and deployed following a model that’s happening on the engineer side, with tasks accomplished and combined by the expert coder. This lack of modularity bothers computer scientists since it leaves out powerful forms of learning that have been observed in human experience.
Training on Edge Devices: There have been successful stories in doing inference on edge devices, but less effort has been put into training on edge devices. Incentives for training on edge devices include reduced latency, improved data privacy, and the ability to train models on data that cannot be transferred to the cloud. Obstacles to training on edge devices include limited computational resources, limited data, and the need for specialized algorithms and software. Whether it is the right time for training on edge devices to flourish is unclear, but there is growing interest and research in this area.
00:52:30 Innovative Software Approaches for Enhancing Machine Learning Training and Inference
Current Trends in Federated Learning: Federated learning involves training models across multiple devices or locations while preserving data privacy. Motivation for federated learning often stems from privacy concerns rather than performance gains. Challenges in federated learning include limited communication bandwidth and heterogeneous devices. Opportunities for adaptation and personalization using federated learning on edge devices with increasing ML accelerators.
Software Improvements for ML Training and Inference: Sparse training, asynchronous gradient updates, and domain-specific languages are potential software improvements to accelerate ML training and inference. New training algorithms and optimization methods hold promise for significant speedups in model training.
Asynchronous Methods and Momentum Correction: Asynchronous methods can reduce communication frequency in distributed training by delaying updates. Momentum correction helps maintain accuracy in asynchronous training.
Challenges with Higher Order and Second Order Methods: Higher order and second order methods for optimization have not gained widespread adoption in deep learning. Difficulties arise from the complex loss surfaces of deep learning models and the need for accurate approximations.
Theoretical Understanding of Stochastic Gradient Descent: Recent theoretical work is shedding light on the behavior of stochastic gradient descent in training deep neural networks. Emerging insights suggest that SGD may be producing random feature kernels, offering a deeper understanding of the algorithm’s behavior.
00:58:43 Improving Machine Learning Training for Robotics
Exploration of New Optimization Techniques: Investigation into modifying algorithms to match efficient trajectories observed in deep learning. Exciting results suggest the potential for significant compression of machine learning. Importance of theoretical understanding to unlock the next generation of software tools.
Asynchronous Methods and Scalability: Early development of asynchronous techniques for large-scale neural net training. Use of centralized parameter server and stale gradients. Shift to synchronous training with accelerator-based supercomputers. Future models may require a return to asynchronous methods due to scalability challenges.
Understanding Asynchrony’s Role: Discussion of different levels of asynchrony and their implications. Research on understanding how algorithmic changes affect hardware capabilities. Exploration of trade-offs and potential benefits of asynchronous systems.
Hardware Innovation and Faster Processing: Recognition of hardware limitations and the drive for faster processing. Adoption of faster hardware by users. Ongoing innovation in hardware to overcome limitations.
Multitasking and Robotic Tasks: Application of multitask frameworks to robotic tasks. Utilization of simulated experience to improve real-world robot performance. Collective learning from multiple robots to achieve more generalizable results. Transfer of simulated results to real robots with attention to physics representation.
01:04:37 Future Directions in Machine Learning: Moving Towards Flexible and Multitask Systems
Machine Learning from Demonstrations: Robots can learn to perform tasks by observing humans. A robot can learn to pour liquid into different containers with 15 trials and 15 minutes of experience. This approach can create a library of robotic primitives that can be combined to create more complex actions.
Multitask Learning and Stitching Tasks Together: Multitask learning allows a system to learn multiple tasks simultaneously, improving performance on all tasks. Stitching tasks together involves combining simpler tasks into more complex tasks. These techniques are valuable for robotics and other applications.
Moving Demonstrations and Simulators Across: Transferring demonstrations and simulations across different domains can help systems learn faster and adapt to new tasks. This is a promising area for research in multitask systems.
Next Generation of Machine Learning Systems: The next generation of ML systems will come from richer environments that require reasoning and grounded learning. Researchers are moving away from focusing on single supervised cases and benchmarks. Benchmarks like Glue and DEC NLP are pushing systems to contend with reasoning in a greater extent in the real world.
Challenges and Opportunities: Heavily multitask systems present numerous research questions in ML, distributed systems, and software engineering. Researchers need to address issues like specifying the system, collaboration among multiple users, routing through a large sea of components, and adding/removing capacity. The ability to tackle new tasks automatically or with minimal human guidance is a key goal.
Conclusion: The discussion identified opportunities and challenges in software, hardware, and theory for flexible ML systems. Students can incorporate these ideas into their research and PhD programs. Feedback on the event is encouraged through a provided link.
Abstract
“Revolutionizing Machine Learning: Perspectives from Google AI, Stanford, and Beyond”
In a groundbreaking AI Salon, leading minds like Jeff Dean of Google AI and Chris Ray from Stanford’s Computer Science Department converged to discuss the future of machine learning. Key highlights included the ambitious vision of training a single model for all tasks, the impact of massive multitask models on software development, and the potential of multitask learning in areas ranging from language translation to medical applications. The salon, reminiscent of Enlightenment-era discussions, focused on the broader societal implications of AI, addressing challenges in hardware, software infrastructure, and the crucial role of regulation and interpretability in AI systems.
Segment Summaries and Analysis:
1. Unifying Knowledge Across Tasks and Multitask Systems:
Jeff Dean and Chris Ray emphasized the efficiency and knowledge transfer benefits of unifying information across tasks. They highlighted how multitask systems enable developers to communicate with richer vocabularies and more naturally identify improvement areas. This approach not only simplifies software engineering tasks but also enhances the flexibility in model building.
Supplemental Addition:
Multitask systems offer a richer vocabulary for developers, making it easier to communicate high-level expressions of what the model should learn. This enables developers to build models more flexibly and spend their time more effectively.
2. Challenges in Software Tools and Performance Improvements:
The lack of software tools for multitask systems was identified as a significant barrier. The speakers stressed the need for performance optimization in machine learning, particularly in ML-focused hardware and sparsity techniques. The idea of software-defined hardware was introduced as a solution for rapid evolution in the field.
Supplemental Addition:
Performance remains a critical challenge, and improvements are needed in both hardware and algorithms. Sparse models and more data flow-oriented processors could potentially offer significant performance gains.
3. Quantum Computing and Its Impact:
The discussion touched upon the narrow yet significant role quantum computing might play, especially in cryptography and neural network training. The potential for quantum computing to revolutionize these areas remains an exciting prospect.
Supplemental Addition:
Quantum computing may have implications for certain types of machine learning problems, such as cryptography and training trillion-parameter neural net models. However, it is likely to be narrowly focused on specific problem domains.
4. Multitask Learning in Practice:
Real-world applications of multitask learning, such as multi-language machine translation, image recognition, and medical applications, were discussed. The effectiveness of this approach in handling thousands of tasks, however, remains an open question, highlighting the need for further research.
5. Associative Memory and Adversarial Examples:
The salon explored the limitations of current machine learning in associative recall and adversarial examples. While large-capacity models can recall relevant information, their susceptibility to adversarial examples raises questions about their true learning capabilities and flexibility.
6. Human Perception vs. Model Perception and Interpretability:
Comparisons were drawn between human and model perceptions, emphasizing the need for models to propose multiple interpretations of data. The correlation between interpretability and multitask models was highlighted as an area requiring more research.
7. Regulation and Software Infrastructure:
The increasing deployment of AI systems necessitates regulation. Speakers suggested certification of models based on their operating characteristics. The role of high-level libraries like PyTorch and TensorFlow in revolutionizing machine learning was acknowledged, with a nod towards future collaboration and development of new abstractions in ML systems.
8. TensorFlow 5.0 and the Future of Machine Learning:
The uncertain vision of TensorFlow 5.0’s appearance led to discussions on the potential fragmentation of tools and frameworks in machine learning. The advancement of AutoML and the promise of neural architecture search were highlighted as key areas for future exploration.
9. Benefits of Machine Learning in Experimentation and Transfer Learning:
The salon underscored the efficiency of machines in running large-scale experiments and their ability to learn from observations. The concept of transfer learning, both in humans and neural networks, was discussed, focusing on the application of knowledge from one task to another.
10. Modularity in Large Language Models and Challenges in Multitask Systems:
The potential for models to evolve structures for specific problems and the challenges in current multitask systems, such as the lack of modularity, were discussed. Suggestions were made for overcoming these challenges through innovations in hardware and software.
Supplemental Addition:
10. Knowledge Elements, Sparsely Gated Mixture of Experts, and Neural Architecture Search:
– Neural networks can be modified to include knowledge elements, which are pathways through the model, and sparsely gated mixture of experts, which are miniature neural networks grafted onto the model.
– Neural architecture search involves optimizing the structure of the neural network for a specific task.
– These techniques can lead to more powerful and efficient neural networks.
Supplemental Addition:
11. Multi-Task Learning, Modularity, and Training on Edge Devices:
– Current multitask systems lack modularity, preventing them from learning in ways that resemble human experience.
– Training on edge devices has the potential to reduce latency, improve data privacy, and enable training on data that cannot be transferred to the cloud, but it also presents challenges such as limited computational resources and heterogeneous devices.
12. Federated Learning and Software Improvements:
Federated learning was identified as a key method for preserving privacy in AI systems. Additionally, the importance of new training algorithms, optimization techniques, and asynchronous training methods in improving machine learning was discussed.
Supplemental Addition:
12. Software and Optimization Techniques for Machine Learning:
– Federated learning involves training models across multiple devices or locations while preserving data privacy.
– Current trends in federated learning include adapting and personalizing models on edge devices.
– Software improvements such as sparse training, asynchronous gradient updates, and domain-specific languages can accelerate ML training and inference.
– Asynchronous methods and momentum correction help maintain accuracy in distributed training.
13. New Optimization Techniques and Asynchronous Methods:
Supplemental Addition:
– Researchers are investigating modifying algorithms to align with efficient trajectories observed in deep learning, with promising results suggesting significant compression of machine learning.
– The early development of asynchronous techniques for large-scale neural net training used a centralized parameter server and stale gradients, but there has been a shift to synchronous training with accelerator-based supercomputers. Future models may require a return to asynchronous methods due to scalability challenges.
– There are different levels of asynchrony with implications for hardware capabilities, and ongoing research aims to understand how algorithmic changes affect hardware.
14. Flexible Machine Learning Systems:
Supplemental Addition:
– Robots can learn to perform tasks by observing humans, such as pouring liquid into different containers with minimal trials and experience.
– Multitask learning allows systems to learn multiple tasks simultaneously, improving performance on all tasks. Stitching tasks together involves combining simpler tasks into more complex tasks, which is valuable for robotics and other applications.
– Transferring demonstrations and simulations across different domains can help systems learn faster and adapt to new tasks.
– The next generation of ML systems will come from richer environments that require reasoning and grounded learning, moving away from focusing on single supervised cases and benchmarks.
– Heavily multitask systems present challenges in software engineering, distributed systems, and ML, and researchers are addressing issues such as system specification, collaboration among multiple users, routing through a large sea of components, and adding/removing capacity.
This AI Salon marked a significant step in the evolution of machine learning, bringing together diverse perspectives to address the challenges and opportunities in the field. From multitask systems and quantum computing to federated learning and hardware innovations, the discussions underscored the need for ongoing research and collaboration to realize the full potential of AI technologies. Attendees and PhD students were encouraged to delve deeper into these ideas, paving the way for future advancements in machine learning and AI.
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