Prince Turki Al Faisal (Saudi Arabia Former Government Official) – World Policy Conference Seoul (Dec 2014)


Chapters

00:00:00 Middle East Political Conditions: Causes and Concerns
00:11:18 The Syrian Crisis: Perspectives on a Regional Solution
00:16:39 Iranian Interference in Iraq and Syria
00:19:39 Arab-Israeli Conflict and Regional Stability
00:31:17 International Mediation and Resolution Strategies in Conflict Zones
00:35:37 Conference on the Future of the Middle East
00:46:40 Addressing Regional Issues in the Middle East: Arab League's Role and Need for
00:49:33 Assessing the Complexities of Resolving Global Issues
00:54:01 Global Challenges of Jihadism

Abstract

Understanding the Complexities of Middle Eastern Dynamics: An In-Depth Analysis

Engaging the Roots of Regional Turmoil

The Middle East, a region steeped in history, culture, and conflict, presents a complex tapestry of issues that challenge global understanding and peace efforts. This article delves into the multifaceted problems plaguing the Middle East, drawing insights from experts like Prince Turki Al Faisal, Henri de Montbreal, and others. We explore topics ranging from terrorism, regional conflicts, international relations, to the deep-seated issues of governance and societal strife.

Terrorism and the Fahish:

Prince Faisal criticizes the use of the term “Islamic State” for the extremist group, emphasizing that it neither represents Islam nor constitutes a legitimate state. He proposes calling them “Fahish,” derived from the Arabic root word for “the worst of the worst,” to undermine their propaganda and media strategy. Prince Faisal emphasizes that terrorist groups exploit power vacuums created by shifting political dynamics and governance challenges in countries like Libya, Yemen, Tunisia, Egypt, and Syria.

Prince Turki emphasizes the need to remove Bashar al-Assad from power in Syria as a necessary step towards achieving stability and peace. The Syrian people should be empowered to find their own solution, leveraging existing structures like city representatives, labor unions, and tribal groups.

The Genesis of ISIS and Intelligence Oversights

The rise of Fahish, according to Prince Turki, stemmed from the power vacuum following the collapse of the Iraqi army and the subsequent occupation of Mosul. This event highlights the failure of Western intelligence to anticipate and mitigate the growth of such extremist groups. Henri de Montbreal’s critique of Western intelligence underscores a broader theme of underestimating the complex dynamics within the Middle East. Prince Faisal suggests that intelligence services failed to anticipate the growing threat due to their inability to recognize the consequences of political vacuums and government misconduct. He criticizes the lack of attention to warnings from Iraqi and Syrian officials regarding the impending crisis.

Regional Perspectives: Saudi Arabia and Iran

Saudi Arabia’s view, articulated by Prince Turki, stresses the importance of addressing the Syrian crisis holistically, including the Assad regime’s role in perpetuating conflict. Contrastingly, Iran’s involvement in the region, especially its support for militias, is viewed with suspicion by Saudi Arabia and many Syrians. This dichotomy reflects the intricate web of regional politics and the challenges in forging a united front against common threats.

Saudi Arabia and Iran have been at odds due to Iran’s interference in countries like Iraq and Syria, supporting militias that engage in violent activities. Saudi Arabia’s Foreign Minister met with his Iranian counterpart in September 2013, expressing concerns and complaints regarding Iran’s actions. Saudi Arabia has set conditions for cooperation with Iran, including the cessation of interference in Arab countries and support for militias. Despite moderate rhetoric from President Rouhani, Iran’s actions have remained consistent with the previous government’s policies.

The Israeli-Palestinian Impasse

A significant aspect of regional instability is the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. The Arab Peace Proposal, offering a two-state solution based on the 1967 borders, remains unaccepted by Israel. This ongoing issue not only fuels regional tension but also symbolizes the broader challenges of achieving lasting peace in the Middle East.

Prince Turki criticizes Israel’s expansion of settlements in the West Bank and its treatment of Palestinians. He emphasizes the need for a fair and equitable solution, including a two-state solution with borders based on the 1967 lines, a return of refugees, and an end to hostilities. He expresses disappointment that no Israeli government has accepted this proposal since it was made in 2002.

Turkey and Egypt: Regional Heavyweights

Turkey’s role in the Middle East, especially its stance on Syria and relations with Egypt, adds another layer to the regional dynamics. Similarly, Egypt, under President Sisi, emerges as a pivotal player, with its actions in Gaza mediation and economic reforms setting the tone for broader regional stability.

Prince Turki acknowledges Turkey’s historical and cultural importance in the region. He appreciates Turkey’s positive stance on Palestine and its efforts to mediate between Israel and Syria. However, he expresses concern about Turkey’s hostile attitude towards the current Egyptian government and its support for Bashar al-Assad in Syria.

The Syrian Quandary and Beyond

The Syrian conflict, a focal point of regional instability, demands an inclusive approach, as suggested by Prince Turki. He proposes a Syrian-led solution involving diverse societal groups, echoing the broader need for local ownership in conflict resolution. The involvement of major powers like Russia and the U.S. further complicates the Syrian situation, necessitating a balanced and collaborative international approach.

A change of government in Iraq has brought hope for an inclusive government that represents the diverse political and social makeup of the country. However, Bashar al-Assad’s treatment of his people has resulted in over 200,000 deaths in Syria, primarily caused by Assad’s forces. International efforts to combat Fahish are ongoing, including airstrikes by European and other countries in Iraq. However, there is a disconnect between the focus on Fahish in Iraq while ignoring the root cause of the Syrian crisis. Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Jordan, and other Gulf states support the fight against Fahish but emphasize the need to address the underlying problem of Syrian government oppression. King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia highlighted the importance of addressing the Syrian government’s marginalization and persecution of its people.

The Arab League’s Role and Saudi Arabia’s Stance

The Arab League’s involvement in regional issues, though significant, is marred by inefficiencies. A coalition involving GCC countries, Egypt, Jordan, and Morocco could potentially reshape the regional landscape. Saudi Arabia, meanwhile, refutes allegations of supporting jihadist schools, emphasizing its role as a victim and a combatant against jihadist extremism.

Arab League’s Mechanism for Addressing Issues:

– The Arab League has not effectively served as a mechanism for addressing important issues in the Middle East.

– The Arab League’s actions during the turmoil in Libya, Syria, and Yemen have been positive but limited due to vetoes by Russia and China and the destabilizing role of the Houthis in Yemen.

GCC’s Role in Initiating Arab League Action:

– The GCC countries have taken the initiative to instigate Arab League action in cases like Libya, Syria, and Yemen.

Potential Coalition for Regional Stability:

– A coalition between the GCC and other important Arab countries like Egypt, Jordan, Morocco, and others could potentially have a significant impact on the wider regional situation.

Challenges and Considerations:

– The effectiveness of such a coalition depends on the stability and active involvement of participating countries, particularly Egypt.

– The involvement of other countries in the coalition remains uncertain.

Concluding Thoughts: A Path to Stability

In conclusion, the Middle East’s challenges are deeply rooted in historical, political, and societal complexities. Addressing these issues requires a nuanced, inclusive approach that considers the aspirations and grievances of all stakeholders. While the path to peace and stability is fraught with obstacles, the insights and proposals discussed here offer a blueprint for a more harmonious future in this strategically vital region.


Notes by: Alkaid